Net,
the next-generation
Give
the Internet a decade or two, and you
won't even recognize it
By
David Stonehouse
Internet founding father Leonard Kleinrock possesses a
distinctly Star
Trekian-view of the network's future: lurking silently
everywhere, ready
to respond instantly to spoken orders and even taking olographic
form. "Right
now, cyberspace lives behind a screen in your computer.
I want it
to come out in the physical world," he says from his
office at the
University of California Los Angeles.
And
what a world it would be: always connected, instantly available
and
ever-present. Its tentacles would reach out to sensors monitoring
everything from the room we are in to the conditions in the
atmosphere
to the state of gridlock on the highways.
Much
like the Starship Enterprise, the omnipresent Internet
would
trigger actuators to open doors for you, fire on the lights
and switch
on displays embedded in the walls. It would speak and understand
when
spoken to, able to identify who you are and retrieve all
your files in
an instant, even if your office is halfway around the world.
Furthermore,
the Internet would not just be the lifeblood of these"
smart spaces" -- it will be crowded inconspicuously
into our own
personal space.
"It
will be on my belt, in my fingernails, on my desk, in my
shoes, in
my eyeglasses, in the world that I enter," says Kleinrock,
who laid the
groundwork for the Internet in the 1960s by outlining the
principles of
packet switching that underpin today's network.
He
expects the first aspects of this futuristic vision to
unfold within
the next decade. And if all of this sounds a little too sci-
fi,
consider that virtually all of the technology to make it
happen either
exists or is under refinement in research labs today.
The
Internet of the future will bear little resemblance to
the one we
now use. It will no longer just be something we use to send
e- mail,
chat, look up information or buy a book. It will be faster
-- much
faster. Video will be a standard feature, not a drain on
bandwidth. The
Net will empower once-ordinary devices with intelligence
and be able to
make some intelligent choices of its own. It will always
be on, and
we'll be able to use it just about anywhere, using just about
anything.
Smart sensors connected to the Internet will allow us to
keep tabs on
everything from our homes to the larger world around us.
As
more and more of the world becomes interconnected, a future
form of
the Internet will stitch everything together.
Internet Overhaul
The
Internet we know today was designed as a communication
tool for
scientists and academics, not for global reach and certainly
not for
connecting virtually every device around us.
Accordingly,
Princeton University scientist and Intel researcher Larry
Peterson complained in June: "It has become impossible
to go to the core
of the Internet and make radical changes to introduce the
kind of new
services we see people wanting to deploy." He was speaking
at the public
launch of PlanetLab, a project which seeks to overhaul the
Internet and
which involves a consortium of more than 60 institutions
around the
world.
The
PlanetLab network is designed to allow researchers to develop
and
test powerful new types of software running on many computers
at once,
treating the network as one large, widely distributed computer.
The
ambitious effort aims to essentially create another layer
to the
existing Internet. They are experimenting with "smart
nodes" --
computers linked to traditional data routers on the network
which can
divide tasks and communicate with one another. They hope
to install
1,000 such nodes by 2006 in countries around the world. The
intelligent
network would be able to divvy up demands to avoid bottlenecks,
throw up
defences in the event of attack and speed up the Internet. Once
PlanetLab is fully developed, it could yield such benefits
as
faster downloads and more powerful search engines. Someone
watching an
online video, for example, might receive it from many computers
that
work together to avoid congested parts of the Internet. Software
scanning the Internet for malicious behaviour could catch
problems
before they could be detected by a single computer.
As
well, in just a few years, PlanetLab plans to introduce
an Internet
that is resistant to viruses and worms, features vast amounts
of
archival space to securely store digital files and allows
you to call up
your own personal stuff on whatever computer you want to
use wherever in
the world you are.
The
Ottawa-based Canadian Network for the Advancement of Research,
Industry and Education (CANARIE) has agreed to host 12 to
15 server
boxes which will be distributed across its cutting-edge CA*net
4
network.
Placed
at various network nodes, the boxes will extend the reach
of the
PlanetLab network so that Canadian researchers can access
the
experimental network services, says Martin Sampson, CANARIE's
communications manager.
"We
see PlanetLab as one of many examples of different, but
parallel,
approaches to the future of the Internet," says Bill
St. Arnaud,
CANARIE's senior director for advanced networks. However,
he quickly
adds: "Of course, we think our architectural approach
is superior to
that of Planetlab's."
You
might brag too if you, like St. Arnaud, were involved with
the
creation of CA*net 4, which blazes along fibre optic line
at 10
gigabytes per second, linking research institutions, hospitals,
universities and schools straight across Canada. CA*net 4
also has
dedicated "lightpaths" that bypass the public Internet
altogether.
Blazing Speed
Imagine
jumping online and trying to send 150 DVDs worth of data to
someone halfway across the world. Even with high-speed broadband,
it
would be an impossible wait. But with lightpath technology,
it takes
just three hours.
CA*net
4 -- created with $110 million in cash from government
-- is
today proving to be a boon to scientists generating mind-
boggling
amounts of data in experiments with few practical ways to
share that
data with colleagues elsewhere, beyond shipping reels of
old-fashioned
tape.
"Gone
are the days of the single, lone researcher sitting in
his or her
lab seven days a week, working alone on a problem," says
CANARIE
president and chief executive officer Andrew Bjerring.
"The
data that is collected through a single experiment in one
of these
multi-national collaborative projects is mind-blowing. So
how do you
share access to that data?"
Very
high bandwidth, that's how. CA*net 4 has that, and it links
with
other next-generation high-speed networks in the world --
Internet2 in
the United States and Europe's GEANT. It allows those on
the network to
send data directly to others without bouncing around from
this server
and that -- much like peer-to-peer software has allowed music
trading
from one personal computer to another. And it can link the
data muscle
and processing power of research computers together -- creating,
in
essence, one big super computer.
"Canada
was a laggard with respect to the first two generations
of the
web," St. Arnaud confesses. "But we believe Canada
has an opportunity to
be a world leader in the next generation."
And
he says it could prove to be fundamental to the way home
networks of
the future unfold -- opening new opportunities for online
services and
mining the explosion of data these faster, better networks
will bring to
your doorstep.
His mind casts to the science of astronomy.
"Most supernovas," St. Arnaud says, "are
discovered by amateurs using
these distributed, peer-to-peer databases. This is an example
of the
revolution: Now, all of the information or services restricted
to big
computers or large research centres will be accessible for
the general
public if they have an interest in it."
Home, Connected Home
Increased
computing power and networking capabilities as envisioned by
projects such as PlanetLab and CANARIE, some say, will ultimately
trickle down to the consumer level, supporting the proliferation
of
Internet-abled appliances and gadgets in our homes.
Already,
the future-gazers at companies such as IBM, Microsoft,
Sears
Sunbeam, Westinghouse and Bell Canada have joined forces
in an outfit
called the Internet Home Alliance, which is dedicated to
networking your
refrigerator, stove and other appliances so that the Internet
can become
a backbone of domestic life.
So
far, early efforts at Net-connected appliances have been
a hard sell
-- too cutting-edge, the stuff of luxury for deep- pocketed
tech
aficionados. Especially when considered in isolation, some
of today's
items leave observers underwhelmed. Yes, Internet- ready
refrigerators
are on the market, which allow you to surf, send e-mails,
take photos or
shoot small video -- even manage grocery lists. Theoretically,
it will
some day be capable of sending messages to the corner store
when you run
out of milk. A skeptical response comes from Sean Carton,
who doesn't
think much of that idea. Carton, author of seven books on
the Internet
including The Dot.Bomb Survival Guide, says he'd never want
his
refrigerator to shop for his food.
"The
one thing that is seems really apparent to me is technology
changes
really quickly but people change very slowly. We have all
been going to
the market to buy our food for thousands of years now and
I think it is
going to be a long time before people are ready to trust
technology to
take care of all that stuff for them," he says.
"What
is much more likely is it will dial up the manufacturer
and say 'I
have a problem -- send a service technician over to fix me.'
I think
that seems to be a little bit more useful."
Still,
proponents such as Derek Kuhn envision the Internet coursing
through our homes just as hydro power does today. "It'll
just become a
utility, like electricity that flows into your house," he
says.
Kuhn,
the director of broadband entertainment for Alcatel Canada,
says
the potential for Internet everywhere in the home, suggests,
is
limitless -- if a little hazy at the moment.
"Everybody
has different kind of niche interests and ideas. I don't
think anybody knows how this is going to go yet. We always
hear 'What is
the killer application?' I don't think there is one," says
Kuhn, who
also chairs the tech industry group called Broadband Content
Delivery
(BCD) Forum.
In
this capacity, Kuhn is to host a meeting of the broadband
forum at
Ottawa's Brookstreet Hotel next week. Presentations at the
two-day
event, co-sponsored by Alcatel, will touch upon many topics
dependent on
a more evolved Internet. One panel will consider next- generation
DVD
players equipped with Ethernet ports so that they could access
content
via the Internet. Another presentation is dedicated to video
telephony
and the potential of "telepresence," a situation
in which a user "feels" a remote
environment so realistically that he or she feels present
in
the remote site.
Kuhn
talks about a microwave he spotted at the Consumer Electronics
Show
last January in Las Vegas -- wave the bar code of your favourite
frozen
dinner in front of it and it sends the information over your
home
Internet connection to seek out the perfect cooking times.
"Three
minutes later, your Pizza Pockets are done -- and not overdone
or
underdone," says Kuhn. "Now, you don't have to
worry about whether you
have a 700- or a 1,000-watt microwave -- it knew all that
stuff for
you."
Kuhn,
speaking from Los Angeles where he was an invited speaker
at the
recent Digital Hollywood conference on delivering broadband
entertainment, is an avid reality TV fan. He envisions being
able to
watch Survivor or Canadian Idol while voting in real time
for who is
next to get the boot -- thanks to a television connected
to the
Internet.
Already,
he says the big telecommunications companies are looking "very
closely" at the possibilities of bringing fibre-optic
cable right into
the home.
"Once
you have glass into your house, there is absolutely no
limit as to
what the speed can be to your home. None," he says. "The
technology
exists today to have absolutely mind-blowing amounts of data
on a single
fibre-optic connection."
Sensors at Work
If
consumer appliances with Net connectivity still seem like a
frill,
then what could be really handy -- and perhaps more of a
public good --
is the notion of a connected car, one that sends wireless
messages off
to your local garage when its sensors detect the first signs
of trouble.
At the garage, technicians can take a peek at the data and
send a
message back if you need to bring it in for service. Connected
cars in
motion would form a network that could inform users about
traffic flow,
weather conditions and other matters.
In
the always-connected future, there will be services like
that and
much more. Small sensors will be everywhere, feeding the
Internet with
information. Already, intelligent wireless sensors are at
work in
California monitoring conditions at the Huntington Botanical
Gardens in
San Marino -- communicating with each other to ensure the
moisture
levels are just right for its collection of rare plants.
Others have
been pressed into service to monitor the effects seismic
waves have had
on buildings in the Los Angeles area.
David
Tennenhouse, director of research at Intel Research, imagines
a
day when high-tech "fingers" like this are everywhere
around the globe,
feeling for data.
Picture
calling up an Internet search engine and asking for the
current
weather conditions at the cottage and the network responding
by fetching
real-time conditions from sensors right at your land by the
lake.
"We
need new sensors and actuators, new ways of connecting
our computers
to the physical world," Tennenhouse told a recent conference
on emerging
technologies at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "Information
technology has barely scratched the surface of where it can
be used."
Jupiter
Research's Michael Gartenberg would agree -- he believes
the
Internet will be so pervasive within the next two decades
that it will
strain the limits of imagination. But
Gartenberg, director of research for the emerging technologies
market research firm, isn't so sure that people will want
rooms talking
to them as they enter.
Instead,
he envisions people wearing wristwatches encoded with their
personal data and preferences "so when they go into
a room the device
signals that you are here and it then adjusts the lighting,
the
temperature and displays relevant information that is important
to you.
"But," he says, "that
won't just be limited to your home. That will
follow you when you get into your car. That will follow you
when you go
to the airport."
At
the airport, the displays showing arrivals and departures
will show
only the information that you want.
Just
about any device around could connect you to the resources
of the
Internet, he says. If you need to display them, just dig
into your
pocket.
"We'll
see screens that can do things like fold up in your pocket.
When
you need a 12-inch screen, you will be able to unwrap it," he
says.
"Likewise,
we will see digital books that look and feel like real
paper
but will be consistently connected and the concepts will
change on that
paper. Because it will be digitally encoded, it will carry
around a
library worth of books -- but in one book."
The
world around us will seem familiar, he says. But at the
same time,
it will be radically different.
There
could even be sensors inside your body to help monitor
your
health. Larry
Smarr, founding director of the California Institute for
Telecommunications and Information Technology and a champion
of the
wireless sensor-concept for keeping tabs on the world around
us, doesn't
see why not.
"A
new car has probably 30 or 40 microprocessors and sensors
inside it," Smarr told a journalist two years ago. "Why
is it that you think it's
more appropriate to take better care of your own car than
your own
body?"
Talk
like that sets off alarm bells among people concerned about
privacy. But in a world where the Internet is all around
us, would there
be any such thing as privacy?
Kleinrock,
the Internet founding father, says we may as well forget
about it.
"We've
given up a considerable amount of privacy already, and
yes a
lotmore is coming down the line," he says. "If
you ask me, the privacy
issue is over. We have lost it. It is almost impossible to
retrieve,
unless you want to retreat from the technology world that
we live in
today. Give up your credit cards, your cell phones, have
no GPS device
on you."
But
given the choice between privacy and the conveniences of
technology,
he suspects most people would opt for convenience.
© 2004
David Stonehouse. For permissions to reprint, please e-mail info@davidstonehouse.com
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